WEAK SIGNALS — EARLY WARNINGS OF WHAT IS COMING

(You can read and download the full pdf here)

“As any adult knows, a magician cannot produce a rabbit unless it is already in (or very near) his hat. In the same way, surprises in the business environment almost never emerge without warning. To understand the warnings, managers must be able to look at available evidence in alternative ways. Otherwise, they can be badly misled by…